El Niño in Boise, ID

In 2 of 3 past super El Niño winters, Boise was wetter than normal. It was warmer than normal in all 3.

The wettest of them was 1982–83: 4.86 inches, 123% of normal — 25th wettest of 86.

History from three winters, not a forecast. Measured at one NOAA station, Boise; record since Dec–Feb 1940–41.

December–February in the three super El Niño winters

WinterPrecipitationAverage temperature
1982–83Dec 1982–Feb 19834.86 in+0.90 in vs normal · 123%25th wettest of 8637.2 °F+3.5 °F vs normal7th warmest of 86
1997–98Dec 1997–Feb 19984.78 in+0.82 in vs normal · 121%27th wettest of 8636.6 °F+2.9 °F vs normal11th warmest of 86
2015–16Dec 2015–Feb 20163.22 in−0.74 in vs normal · 81%30th driest of 8635.6 °F+1.9 °F vs normaltied 20th warmest of 86
Normal1991–2020 average3.96 in33.7 °F

Ranks are within this station’s own record: 86 winters for precipitation, 86 for temperature. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, Boise precipitation and temperature, as of November 11, 2026.

This winter: where NOAA’s outlook places Boise

For December–February 2026–27, the Climate Prediction Center’s map places Boise in equal chances of above-, near- or below-normal precipitation (no tilt either way), and in the 40–50% area for above-normal temperature.

Read from the contours of CPC’s seasonal outlook issued October 15, 2026 — the area the city falls in on a continental-scale map, not a forecast made for the city. CPC seasonal outlook maps. CPC reissues it monthly.

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