El Niño in San Antonio, TX
In 1 of 3 past super El Niño winters, San Antonio was wetter than normal. It was warmer than normal in 2 of 3.
The wettest of them was 1997–98: 10.14 inches, 178% of normal — 7th wettest of 80.
History from three winters, not a forecast. Measured at one NOAA station, San Antonio; record since Dec–Feb 1946–47.
December–February in the three super El Niño winters
| Winter | Precipitation | Average temperature |
|---|---|---|
| 1982–83Dec 1982–Feb 1983 | 5.33 in−0.36 in vs normal · 94%28th wettest of 80 | 51.9 °F−2.8 °F vs normaltied 21st coldest of 80 |
| 1997–98Dec 1997–Feb 1998 | 10.14 in+4.45 in vs normal · 178%7th wettest of 80 | 54.8 °F+0.1 °F vs normaltied 26th warmest of 80 |
| 2015–16Dec 2015–Feb 2016 | 4.41 in−1.28 in vs normal · 78%39th wettest of 80 | 56.2 °F+1.5 °F vs normaltied 14th warmest of 80 |
| Normal1991–2020 average | 5.69 in | 54.7 °F |
Ranks are within this station’s own record: 80 winters for precipitation, 80 for temperature. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, San Antonio precipitation and temperature, as of November 11, 2026.
This winter: where NOAA’s outlook places San Antonio
For December–February 2026–27, the Climate Prediction Center’s map places San Antonio in the 40–50% area for above-normal precipitation, and in equal chances of above-, near- or below-normal temperature (no tilt either way).
Read from the contours of CPC’s seasonal outlook issued October 15, 2026 — the area the city falls in on a continental-scale map, not a forecast made for the city. CPC seasonal outlook maps. CPC reissues it monthly.
Read next
- What El Niño means for the Gulf Coast and Southeast
- Texas statewide in the same three winters (against a 1901–2000 normal, so the departures differ from this page)
- Winter 2026–27 outlook
- Current El Niño status
Other cities in the South climate region: Dallas, Houston, Austin, Oklahoma City. All 50 cities