El Niño in Los Angeles, CA

In 2 of 3 past super El Niño winters, Los Angeles was wetter than normal. It was warmer than normal in 1 of 3.

The wettest of them was 1997–98: 21.44 inches, 267% of normal — the wettest of 82.

History from three winters, not a forecast. Measured at one NOAA station, Los Angeles; record since Dec–Feb 1944–45.

December–February in the three super El Niño winters

WinterPrecipitationAverage temperature
1982–83Dec 1982–Feb 198311.56 in+3.53 in vs normal · 144%14th wettest of 8256.1 °F−1.3 °F vs normaltied 35th coldest of 82
1997–98Dec 1997–Feb 199821.44 in+13.41 in vs normal · 267%the wettest of 8256.3 °F−1.1 °F vs normaltied 41st warmest of 82
2015–16Dec 2015–Feb 20164.76 in−3.27 in vs normal · 59%28th driest of 8258.9 °F+1.5 °F vs normal8th warmest of 82
Normal1991–2020 average8.03 in57.4 °F

Ranks are within this station’s own record: 82 winters for precipitation, 82 for temperature. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, Los Angeles precipitation and temperature, as of November 11, 2026.

This winter: where NOAA’s outlook places Los Angeles

For December–February 2026–27, the Climate Prediction Center’s map places Los Angeles in the 50–60% area for above-normal precipitation, and in equal chances of above-, near- or below-normal temperature (no tilt either way).

Read from the contours of CPC’s seasonal outlook issued October 15, 2026 — the area the city falls in on a continental-scale map, not a forecast made for the city. CPC seasonal outlook maps. CPC reissues it monthly.

Official notices for California

  • September 22, 2026California's Insurance Commissioner asked residents to review their cover before the El Niño storm season. The release notes that homeowners, renters and commercial policies typically exclude flood damage, and that flood insurance generally takes effect 30 days after purchase.California Department of Insurance
  • September 21, 2026California's governor proclaimed a state of emergency for El Niño preparedness. State agencies are to stage flood-fighting supplies such as sandbags and pumps; Caltrans is to stage road-closure and snow-removal equipment. The release cites NOAA's 75% chance of a historic event.Office of the Governor of California

Read next

Other cities in the West climate region: Riverside–San Bernardino, San Francisco, San Diego, Sacramento, Las Vegas, San Jose. All 50 cities

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