El Niño in Miami, FL
In all 3 past super El Niño winters, Miami was wetter than normal. It was warmer than normal in 1 of 3.
The wettest of them was 2015–16: 20.25 inches, 316% of normal — the wettest of 78.
History from three winters, not a forecast. Measured at one NOAA station, Miami; record since Dec–Feb 1948–49.
December–February in the three super El Niño winters
| Winter | Precipitation | Average temperature |
|---|---|---|
| 1982–83Dec 1982–Feb 1983 | 14.62 in+8.22 in vs normal · 228%2nd wettest of 78 | 68.8 °F−1.0 °F vs normal38th coldest of 78 |
| 1997–98Dec 1997–Feb 1998 | 12.94 in+6.54 in vs normal · 202%3rd wettest of 78 | 68.7 °F−1.1 °F vs normaltied 35th coldest of 78 |
| 2015–16Dec 2015–Feb 2016 | 20.25 in+13.85 in vs normal · 316%the wettest of 78 | 70.8 °F+1.0 °F vs normaltied 18th warmest of 78 |
| Normal1991–2020 average | 6.4 in | 69.8 °F |
Ranks are within this station’s own record: 78 winters for precipitation, 78 for temperature. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, Miami precipitation and temperature, as of November 11, 2026.
This winter: where NOAA’s outlook places Miami
For December–February 2026–27, the Climate Prediction Center’s map places Miami in the 50–60% area for above-normal precipitation, and in the 33–40% area for near-normal temperature.
Read from the contours of CPC’s seasonal outlook issued October 15, 2026 — the area the city falls in on a continental-scale map, not a forecast made for the city. CPC seasonal outlook maps. CPC reissues it monthly.
Read next
- What El Niño means for the Gulf Coast and Southeast
- Florida statewide in the same three winters (against a 1901–2000 normal, so the departures differ from this page)
- Winter 2026–27 outlook
- Current El Niño status
Other cities in the Southeast climate region: Washington, Atlanta, Tampa, Orlando, Charlotte, Virginia Beach–Norfolk. All 50 cities