El Niño in Jacksonville, FL
In 2 of 3 past super El Niño winters, Jacksonville was wetter than normal. It was warmer than normal in 2 of 3.
The wettest of them was 1997–98: 24.38 inches, 274% of normal — the wettest of 86.
History from three winters, not a forecast. Measured at one NOAA station, Jacksonville; record since Dec–Feb 1940–41.
December–February in the three super El Niño winters
| Winter | Precipitation | Average temperature |
|---|---|---|
| 1982–83Dec 1982–Feb 1983 | 13.48 in+4.58 in vs normal · 152%11th wettest of 86 | 55.4 °F−1.2 °F vs normaltied 41st coldest of 87 |
| 1997–98Dec 1997–Feb 1998 | 24.38 in+15.48 in vs normal · 274%the wettest of 86 | 56.9 °F+0.3 °F vs normaltied 26th warmest of 87 |
| 2015–16Dec 2015–Feb 2016 | 8.23 in−0.67 in vs normal · 93%42nd driest of 86 | 58.4 °F+1.8 °F vs normaltied 16th warmest of 87 |
| Normal1991–2020 average | 8.9 in | 56.6 °F |
Ranks are within this station’s own record: 86 winters for precipitation, 87 for temperature. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, Jacksonville precipitation and temperature, as of November 11, 2026.
This winter: where NOAA’s outlook places Jacksonville
For December–February 2026–27, the Climate Prediction Center’s map places Jacksonville in the 70–80% area for above-normal precipitation, and in the 33–40% area for near-normal temperature.
Read from the contours of CPC’s seasonal outlook issued October 15, 2026 — the area the city falls in on a continental-scale map, not a forecast made for the city. CPC seasonal outlook maps. CPC reissues it monthly.
Read next
- What El Niño means for the Gulf Coast and Southeast
- Florida statewide in the same three winters (against a 1901–2000 normal, so the departures differ from this page)
- Winter 2026–27 outlook
- Current El Niño status
Other cities in the Southeast climate region: Miami, Washington, Atlanta, Tampa, Orlando, Charlotte. All 50 cities